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If you really want the truth and be really informed about vaccines the buy a book by RFK Jr titled The Real Anthony Fauci. The book is backed up with real science and every word written is sourced so you can check him out for truth.It's unknowable. About the best the health experts can do is look at statistics and try to make educated guesses.
Getting the vax is similar to religious belief. It may or may not work, but why take a chance?
And on the subject of chances, there is some, however small, element of that in every vaccine. But most parents opt to get their children vaccinated against Polio, 92.5%. That in view of the fact that Polio is almost unheard of now in the US, but people still get their children vaxed. The chance of vaccination-induced contraction of polio is greater than one in a million globally, less in the US.