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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: No Progress for Long-Term Unemployed; Ten Reasons the Problem is Structural
Ten Reasons the Problem is Structural
Ten Reasons the Problem is Structural
- The housing boom-bust is a once in a multi-generational phenomenon
- Demographics - The boomer boom has turned into the boomer bust
- Those graduating from college have unprecedented levels of student debt
- Fed policies bailed out the banks at the expense of everyone else (and now is payback time)
- The Fed holding rates low in conjunction with Obamacare costs has exacerbated the trend of businesses to seek new ways to eliminate employees in favor of hardware and software robots
- In general, Fed policies of holding interest rates low screwed those on fixed income, screwed the middle class, and screwed the poor, all for the benefit of the top 1% (and those policies are not likely to change)
- Housing formation by millennials is at a record low and because of student debt and a dearth of high-paying jobs is unlikely to change.
- Pension promises by cities, states, and counties cannot and will not be met. Several cities in California and Detroit Michigan are the tip of this iceberg.
- Slowdown in China, restructuring in Europe.
- Debt, Debt, Debt. A debt crisis is everywhere you look: Japan, Europe, India, China, US. Debt acts as a drag on the global economy unless it is expanding rapidly (and it cannot without creating still more problems)