Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) Official Thread

[ATCclears]

Person-to-person transmission confirmed in Illinois.

Separately, World Health Organization (WHO) declares it a global public-health emergency.

Are we getting all the details? Dunno. We'll find out... Watch for metrics on the R0 (R-naught) and Mortality Rate...

 

[Cavedweller]

Just a thought.

Lets say during SARS there were 10,000 infected and 1,000 died. That's 10% dead. [Not real numbers. Just easy for my math example]. Consider the deaths to infection ratio is tabulated in hind sight. After the fact.

Now lets say it takes four days on average from the time symptoms show. Until you die from this new virus.
You don't divide 8,000 infected today. Into 180 dead today. Those 180 were infected, and destined to die four day ago.

You divide todays deaths by the number infected something like four days ago. Say 1,000-2,000 infected?
That 180 dead today. Could be 10% or more? Depending on a bunch of variables. [ Like the stage the patient tested positive for the virus. Regardless of symptoms or not ].

It's hard to tell at present. But after all is said and done. We will easily be able to do the math.
As of now? Comparing the death rate from the SARS or any other past outbreak. To this still unfolding outbreak is not apples to apples.

This guy agrees with you. Makes this point at 3:30.

 

[Cavedweller]

This from Illinois:

"Public health officials are actively investigating other possible individuals the couple came into contact with after they became symptomatic, which the CDC said occurs between two and 14 days after exposure."

That's great, but we already know the virus is transmissible in the pre-symptomatic phase. See post 210.

 

[Medic!]

That's probably where I heard it.

I'm not smart enough for original Ideas.

 

[RicInOR]

The (a) key take away from this is "stay away from crowds"

what else?

 

[Xaevian]

The best takeaway is the same for any viral outbreak. Wash your hands, especially before touching your face. Viruses can survive on inanimate surfaces for different lengths of time depending on the composition, so just avoiding crowds isn't enough.

 

[arakboss]

Approaching 10,000 reported cases:

January 31, 2020 coronavirus news

More than 210 people are dead in China as the coronavirus spreads across the globe. Follow here for the latest.

www.cnn.com

Who knows how many unreported?

 

[Cavedweller]

This would make sense if animals in the State of Washington were infected:

"The state has implemented its multiple emergency support functions, which includes public health and medical services. It also means the State Department of Agriculture and Department of Natural Resources are also part of the response since the virus can spread from animals to humans."

Washington activates emergency response center in wake of coronavirus

SEATTLE (KOMO) - Washington state has declared a Level 1 response in the wake of the coronavirus, a global outbreak that has been declared a global health emergency by the World Health Organization. The declaration by the state means officials have activated its emergency operations center...

komonews.com

 

[Cavedweller]

Life in a city under quarantine takes a turn for the worse as markets, hospitals run out of food. Medical supplies and PPE in short supply.

Wuhan is running low on food, hospitals are overflowing, and foreigners are being evacuated as panic sets in after a week under coronavirus lockdown

The epicenter of the novel coronavirus outbreak, the Chinese city of Wuhan, was put under an unprecedented quarantine since last Thursday.

www.businessinsider.com

 

[FullMetalJerk]

It's more dangerous than SARS because the incubation period is up to 2 weeks, not 5 days like they originally said. The coronavirus might've been getting spread around way before December, as far back as July for all we know. People die from the flu, maybe it wasn't just a regular flu they died from. Lots of unknowns.

 

[cookie]

We have 3 bottles in the house and more in the "box" usually used for wiping down phones, remotes etc. Great stuff. The hand sanitizer would be to set by the front door and use on our way into the house. Just easier.

Alcohol takes quite a while to sterilize beware.

 

[Camelfilter]

Alcohol takes quite a while to sterilize beware.

Yup.

However as with standard hand sanitizer (gel alcohol), the mechanical action (wiping) along with the alcohol disinfects.

One shouldn't be attempting to set up a surgical suite, just maintaining good hygiene, good habits, and such.

 

[Cavedweller]

'It's getting worse by the day': Kiwi in China describes virus struggle

'Everything has fallen apart here', says Kiwi man living in China.

www.nzherald.co.nz

 

[Hop Sing]

Any of you guys invested in the stock market, you may want to convert to cash or whatever today.

 

[slimmer13]

Any of you guys invested in the stock market, you may want to convert to cash or whatever today.

Cashing out because of market jitters is a suckers move.

 

[Medic!]

Any of you guys invested in the stock market, you may want to convert to cash or whatever today.

I also noticed that 3 month and 10 year bonds have been inverted all day. And the 30 year has been dipping in and out of below 2%.

Money is pouring in.

Stock market is down 550 points as of now,. And gold is around 1590 an OZ.
So people are running in panic to safety.

I do hope things calm down and normalize .

 

[arakboss]

The (a) key take away from this is "stay away from crowds"

what else?

Buffets

 

[GWS]

Buffets

Damn!
You're right Buffets have to be the worst possible place to go and of course, one of my favorite places to go.
Food handling and sneezing, coughing wheezing unwashed people
Damn...

 

[RicInOR]

Have you heard it is Canada's ?


image -

 

[Camelfilter]

Have you heard it is Canada's ?


image -

View attachment 655647

Doesn't matter...