When do you guys suppose the primer shortage will ease up?

[WillaminaOR]

For those of you that have weathered these shortages in the past, and paid more attention, how long do you suppose the current shortage will last?

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[GrayGoose]

With Biden and Kamelho, things will never be normal again. I'd expect the madness to go on for well into the new year until supply/demand slowly converge.

 

[Stomper]

When all big-government loving statist politicians and their supporters are dead....

 

[Dungannon]

I'll take a wild bubblegum guess: mid 2021. Really, no one knows. Media pundits will continue to pontificate so watch the shelves instead of reading the media.

 

[CLT65]

Hard to say. Right now it's a bubble. There's no real, economic reason for the insane prices other than panic.

If the panic lasts into a time where real restrictions are introduced, then we can have some idea as to what we'll be paying in the future. Ask someone from the UK or Australia what they pay for things like primers and ammo over there.

I have my doubts that they'll be able to cram through serious restrictions on such things in the near future, but who knows.

 

[JO JO]

I bet components and ammo will be scarce for awhile , remember the Obama years
They say obama was the best gun salesman ever
With the panic buying and unknown
Future the demand is out pacing
Supply

 

[arakboss]

Powder Valley had some CCI Small pistol primers today with limit of one brick per customer per day. They did sell out quickly but at least they got a shipment in.

 

[Alexx1401]

It always depends on what happens. If there is another mass shooting, it sets off another round of panic. If we do not have another "thing" to set off another panic it will allow the pipe line to fill again. My favorite place is selling 9mm again. Price is still over twice what I will pay BUT, they have it on the shelf again. Which means people have slowed down. first the ammo comes back, then the supplied to load come back. The one and only constant here having watched so many of these I lost count is short memories. Shortly before this last one places were offering to wave the Haz-Mat fee to get people to buy. Stuff was ignored, no one wanted it. When this panic is over the shelves fill up people will promptly forget this happened until the next one

 

[American123]

Not until corona is no longer used as an excuse to kill the economy, racist marxist groups aren't burning down buildings with seemingly approval of local socialist wannabe leaders, and gun control is not front and center of one groups' public political agenda.

I'm saying 2022 3rd quarter.

 

[American123]

It always depends on what happens. If there is another mass shooting, it sets off another round of panic. If we do not have another "thing" to set off another panic it will allow the pipe line to fill again. My favorite place is selling 9mm again. Price is still over twice what I will pay BUT, they have it on the shelf again. Which means people have slowed down. first the ammo comes back, then the supplied to load come back. The one and only constant here having watched so many of these I lost count is short memories. Shortly before this last one places were offering to wave the Haz-Mat fee to get people to buy. Stuff was ignored, no one wanted it. When this panic is over the shelves fill up people will promptly forget this happened until the next one

Best part of panic markets is when it goes back to normal, the surplus because so many people overbought and wont buy more even at low prices.

 

[jj500]

When the idiots stop hoarding toilet paper.

 

[arakboss]

When the idiots stop hoarding toilet paper.

I don't think hoard purchasing of the primers is the main cause of the primer shortage. Most of the retailers that I have spoke with about primer stocks have said they have not received any or hardly any in months. My guess is primer manufactures are prioritizing supplies of primers to ammo production. There could be lingering effects of covid impacts on production at the primer manufactures as well. It would be interesting to know how the primer manufactures prioritize the shipping of primers to different distribution channels. Some retailers like Sportsmans Warehouse seem to be getting them in more often than other retailers.

 

[Dozer99]

I feel that people are still panic buying and that is the main reason for the shortage. I watched two guys who don't even reload buy powder the other day just because they thought it would be worth something later on.

 

[GWS]

We need to start a pool! The week primers become widely available is the winner.
100 weeks to choose from if we block out Thanksgiving weeks and Christmas weeks in 2021 and 2022
$20 per square/week NWFA can get 10 or 20 percent
Whaddya say?

 

[arakboss]

I feel that people are still panic buying and that is the main reason for the shortage. I watched two guys who don't even reload buy powder the other day just because they thought it would be worth something later on.

It's pretty hard to panic buy something that is not being put on the shelves (like primers). I guess it's possible the panic buying is happening at the distributor level. But I have no way of knowing how many primers are making it to the distributors. You would think cabelas/bass pro and bimart would have enough clout to get some in but it's not happening in any significant way.

 

[gmerkt]

It's pretty hard to panic buy something that is not being put on the shelves (like primers).

Maybe many of the limited amount getting out to the retail level never make it to the shelves. They go to connected customers who know employees.

 

[arakboss]

Maybe many of the limited amount getting out to the retail level never make it to the shelves. They go to connected customers who know employees.

That is very possible.

 

[Alexx1401]

It's pretty hard to panic buy something that is not being put on the shelves (like primers). I guess it's possible the panic buying is happening at the distributor level. But I have no way of knowing how many primers are making it to the distributors. You would think cabelas/bass pro and bimart would have enough clout to get some in but it's not happening in any significant way.

This is far from the first time. As with all the times before a panic starts. Soon the shelves are cleared. Before the net it took a while as word spread. After the net got going good it happens faster and lasts longer. Reason is you daily have people on line telling the world they just found out there is no____________ fill in the blank. People that make things like primers did not and do not stop making them. What does change is who gets them first. The larger the buyer, the higher they are on the list of people who get first dibs. There is then of course a lot of speculating. People will grab up all they can and try to sell at higher price. Known by many as gouging. Many like me, have seen many of these in the past, so we have enough to last years. We are known as horders by those who ignored the stuff when the shelves were full and the stuff was on sale. When the shelves fill again the same people screaming about hording will again go to sleep and ignore the stuff on the shelves. Until something sets off another panic. Then they will go on line to complain about horders. Rinse, repeat, over and over. It will never change

 

[arakboss]

Any serious discussions in Congress or the White House about microstamping requirements on ammo will only exacerbate the primer shortage.

 

[HighlandLofts]

It's pretty hard to panic buy something that is not being put on the shelves (like primers). I guess it's possible the panic buying is happening at the distributor level. But I have no way of knowing how many primers are making it to the distributors. You would think cabelas/bass pro and bimart would have enough clout to get some in but it's not happening in any significant way.

Before the last ammo and reloading shortage durring the obozo years Cabelas, Sportsmans Warehouse and the bigger local gun stores could of ordered and recieved a pallet of ammo in any caliber and get what ever they wanted for reloading supplies.
Then obozo happened and whet they placed thier order the only recieved one case of ammunition and very little to no reloading sullies (powder & primers)
Back then w in our area you were limited to one box of ammo and they broke the bricks of 22 down to individual 50 round boxes.
Same way with primers, bricks were knocked down to sleves and you could only buy a sleve of one hundred primers.
Powder forget about it.

So with very little products being delivered how can people panic buy?
The stores need the products in volume on the shelves for panic buying to take place if I am not mistaken.

This production - distibution shortage is some part of the globalist agenda in my personal agenda.
If not tell me where all the product is going instead of on the store shelves.