Gun-grabbers around the globe believe they have it made.

[markpeters1970]

Yes and the latest attempts have been moves to enhance this "treaty"

Well this is absolutely false. Facts:
1. Any ITAR item needs a license no matter value
2. The last administration restricted more recreational firearm exports than the current administration
3. This administration has implemented the first export control reform in over thirty years
4. The reforms will move most recreational (and some military) firearms, scopes, accessories, and others to control under the Commerce Department, arguably liberalizing trade, rather than the tightly restrictive State Dept.
5. Under current rules most gunsmiths and small manufacturers are breaking the law, as they need to pay $2500 per year to US State Dept. As manufacturers of ITAR items. Reform will remedy this and not require registration
6. ITAR is code of federal regs not treaty, treaty requires US Senate approval, since rural America controls the Senate, any gun control "treaty" is a non starter

Why I know, I've spent the last 15 years advising small business on export controls, clients have included NightForce, Lilja, and HS munitions

 

[fd15k]

The supreme court consists of human beings that each have their own ideas about what the text in the constitution really means.

That's not really correct. They are legal scholars, and their opinions are not based simply on their own ideas and/or beliefs. In fact that's what the court opinions are -
arguments that are backed up by legal and historical analysis.

Do you think that if Elena Kagan got to make the decisions all by herself, that she would uphold the idea that the right to keep and bear arms is an individual right, and not a right of the government?

In a grand schema of things it wouldn't matter. For one, SAF would likely not bring up the case, if they weren't sure they would win. Second, a lot of people on this board believe in "state rights", while
others believe in the plain meaning of the 2A and disregard the SCOTUS as a valid source for interpretation. But in any case, the question we are looking into right now is ability of Obama to impact the
gun issues through the change of the political layout of SCOTUS.

That change wouldn't happen over night, but it wouldn't take long for us to be like Australia.

Now that is a pure speculation. I conclude you've got no specific scenarios based on the current political and legal landscape.

 

[fd15k]

State of The Art Cammo-Nets?

State of the Art Tinfoil hats too