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That's the explanation I heard quite a few years ago."Confidence multiplied by the percentage of the area forecasted equals the "percentage of precipitation." So if there's a 100% confidence that 30% of the area will see rain, then it's a 30% chance [(1 x 0.3)100 = PoPs]."
So apparently any forecast % of rain, snow, whatever means 100% will get rained on, or snowed on, in whatevet % of the area, at least how I read it?
Up this way we "normally" get a small amount yearly. Normally maybe once and no big deal. Ever few we get a for us, "good one" and its a HUGE damn mess. Everyone screams and cry's when it takes weeks to get all the roads clear. Trying to explain to them we can't keep a fleet of trucks sitting for years not used. Not to mention a fleet of people to drive them that are not used for years. So when we get a good one those of us who prepare get around. The rest? Complain a lot and get in a lot of wrecks.What are you anticipating as far as snow goes for Metro Areas later this week? I don't have much faith in weather reports a week out but it appears we will likely have some type of snow event towards the coming weekend?
Sad but true. 10%-90% of the area getting rained on, or notWhen one weatherman (or woman) says there is a 10% chance of rain, and another weatherperson (better?? Not really) says there is a 90% chance of rain, whether it rains or not they are both right.
Aha...so ifin' its is a dry cold...then that is where dry ice comes from....Look at the bright side, it's a dry rain.