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first time
Events are often triggered when a stochastic or random process first encounters a threshold. The threshold can be a barrier, boundary or specified state of a system. The amount of time required for a stochastic process, starting from some initial state, to encounter a threshold for the first time is referred to variously as a first hitting time.
In statistics, first-hitting-time models are a sub-class of survival models. The first hitting time, also called first passage time, of the barrier set
B
{\displaystyle B}
with respect to an instance of a stochastic process is the time until the stochastic process first enters
B
{\displaystyle B}
.
More colloquially, a first passage time in a stochastic system, is the time taken for a state variable to reach a certain value. Understanding this metric allows one to further understand the physical system under observation, and as such has been the topic of research in very diverse fields, from economics to ecology.The idea that a first hitting time of a stochastic process might describe the time to occurrence of an event has a long history, starting with an interest in the first passage time of Wiener diffusion processes in economics and then in physics in the early 1900s. Modeling the probability of financial ruin as a first passage time was an early application in the field of insurance. An interest in the mathematical properties of first-hitting-times and statistical models and methods for analysis of survival data appeared steadily between the middle and end of the 20th century.
I established a while ago that the furthest I personally can shoot accurately using my AK with red dot is 150 yards. I can ring a steel plate consistently at that range when shooting from a rest. But anything beyond 150 yards with the AK is just wasting ammo for me. Recently I finally bought my...
Like the title says, been lurking for a while while and figured it was finally time to take the leap. The wife and I moved To Bend about 5 years ago, mostly for the mountain biking, skiing, etc. Former NRA high power competitor (back when I could still see iron sights), but shooting mostly for...
Hi,
Just joined, primarily looking to sell a few firearms.
Never sold before, do you just arrange to meet at a chosen FFL (in WA state) and can pretty much handle the sale on the spot?
Been lurking the page for a long time just never had any desire to sell so never finished setting things up! Glad to be here have had a few successful buying adventures here already.
What is up, everybody?
So, I “pulled the trigger” and signed up for my first shooting match.
Going to the Practical Pistol at DDRC on April 1st.
Any advice is welcome as I have zero experience with competitive shooting.
What to take? How many rounds? What to expect?
Attached is the picture...
Hello everyone, hope you're having a great weekend. Bummer about the Seahawks but we all saw that L coming. So, there isn't really anywhere clearly defined for me to post my current issues/questions so I'll just give it a shot here and if you want to point me in a better direction, please do so...
This coming January I am going on my first hunting trip in Echo Or. Going with experienced hunter friends and a guide so I’ll be be in good hands.
I have a few questions about clothing. Specifically in January should I go out and buy some water proof overalls? I have a good set of waterproof...
Hello. I’ve lurked for some time and have now signed up so am saying hi. Native Oregonian, like guns, long walks on the beach, etc. Appreciate the civil tone and depth of knowledge. Cheers.
Decided to do my first rattle can job on an AR. A couple imperfections, but I'm pretty happy with it. Proably won't be able to tell after a few trips to the woods. What do you think, how did I do for a rookie?
Edited, auto correct errors.
I don't see any threads on turkey hunting more recent than 2019, so I'll post one and see if I get any traction.
This will be my first time going out for turkeys. From the research I've done it sounds like the best populations in the Western part of Oregon are down near Roseburg, but thats a...
Hey Folks,
I'm taking my 9 year old nephew out this year to teach him how to hunt. We're starting off small; how to move quietly, what to look for, where to look ect. He really wants to hunt deer.
I think it's best to start him off with squirrels. I'm having trouble googling a map of BLM land...
I am a longtime SW WA resident. I grew up in salmon creek before it was a town. I would ride my dirt bike for hours before touching pavement. I still live in salmon creek now and it’s a real town now, no longer ridgefields little brother.
I grew up going to Long Beach, Ilwaco, cannon beach...
Hello, it's nice to be here. I shot a gun for the first time 2 months ago in a handgun saftey class that I took with my wife. We are both in our 40s and recently bought our first house and took the class to see if a gun would be something we would be comfortable having in the house for...
Fairly new to the world of firearms, found this forum while combing the laws here in the PNW. Just purchased my first handgun, a Glock G42.
Unfortunately I was put in que so i wasn't able to take it home today. Has anyone experienced the wait time recently to pick up their firearm? If so how...
Unlawful manufacture of an untraceable firearm with the intent to sell the untraceable firearm
Undetectable or untraceable firearms, knowingly/recklessly allow/aid/facilitate/abed the assembly/manufacture by person ineligible to possess
Failure to use dealer to facilitate transfer between two...