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I don't know. I think it's a bit firmer than a dice roll. Sheriff didn't want to make an arrest and it required state AG to make a call to indict the guy. Obviously under political pressure.
Pinellas county appears to be purple but maybe there will be a motion to move the case somewhere a shade bluer.
I feel like I read somewhere -- so take this with some rock salt -- that the sheriff involved is a SYG hater and wanted to make a political point with this case, which is kind of silly considering that if you've been pushed to the ground, SYG is not relevant because retreat is impossible at that point. Anyway, the way I heard it, the sheriff wanted to make SYG look bad so applied it to this case where it didn't really apply.