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My understanding is that a connection of some sort is more common than not. Somebody knows what you have in your house, or knows somebody who knows, that sort of thing.From the article:
According to (Pasco County Sheriff) Nocco, the homeowner and the suspects had some type of connection and the home invasion was a targeted, isolated incident.
Things that make you say, "Hmmmmm..."
An acquaintance of mine once told me something disturbing. He grew up near the inner city, and hung with a different crowd. He said that among people he knew when he was younger, if Gramma had something of value, they would tell their buddies who would rob Gramma, and then give them a cut. They wouldn't rob Gramma them-self because that would be too obvious.
Typically for someone to take the risk of robbing your house, they'd want to know beforehand that it's worth it, so more often than not it's someone who's been in the house before, or close to someone who has. Often it's the daughter's dirtbag boyfriend, or the grandson's buddies, something like that.