I'm not sure if you mean if your purchase permit application get's denied or if you get a permit but your BGC on a .22 get's denied, but I dunno if it matters. The end result is likely the same.Say you're already grandfathered in with the 30 guns you currently own. You apply for a permit for a .22 single shot and are denied. Common sense says, oh well, for that 22. But what to say, you are now deemed a risk for what you've owned for decades?
With the new alphabet guidelines for FFL's, they must report your private info to the alphabet and also to local LE for any delay or denial on a 4473. That sounds to me like they plan to keep folks in a "warning" database and "could" choose to follow up with a person if they are denied. If that's their intention then it makes sense they would do it for a denied purchase permit, too.
If LE recieved a denial (or delay) an a permit application OR 4473.. I would imagine that would red flag you the same and would be on their radar to possibly follow up with an investigation if they wanted to.
If all of that is true, then I would say... Yeah. If they are investigating you for cause for a denial, they might look a little harder as to why if they also know you own mulitple firearms. Hence, "higher risk".
Unless you really foul up I don't "believe" anything would come of it and they would'nt start up a fishing trip on you, but they are putting in the groundwork and structure to be ABLE to... if they see fit to.
I don't think they have any specific recourse to confiscate previously owned guns simply for a denial.... yet! But they could be heading that direction. IE., A BGC or purchase permit denial is cause to deem you "dangerous", it's reported to LE, they see you are "dangerous" and already own firearms... so they use a red flag law on you to confiscate your gear.
if I was a woke-tard... that sounds like a pretty good game plan to me!
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