- Messages
- 1,432
- Reactions
- 3,251
Ever since I started paying attention about a month ago, I've tried warning folks and most people are remarkably not receptive or outright dismissive. This ain't the flu... if you still think it is, you're just not paying attention.
There is no dispute this is the worst viral pandemic in 100 years. It's growing and here to stay. ALL of the evidence points to it. There is no cure, no vaccine, etc. Quarantine barely seems to work. The best defense is NOT getting sick.
Please, I urge you, make preparations and take this seriously! Prepare to quarantine as much as possible. Food, medicine, supplies, cleaning products, pet food, and deep pantry and medical supplies. If you can find them, N95 masks, swim goggles or other air tight goggles, and latex gloves.
* Airborne, easily transmissible, highly contagious, long asymptomatic periods of infection, very durable...
* I've seen modeling and reports that this might infect more than 1/2 of the global population. The UK government has warned its citizens of a worst case of 500,000 deaths this year from an 80% infection rate.
* Unknown global infections and deaths. Many reports from inside China are stating real numbers are many times reported figures. Total "official" fabricated numbers or blackout data in China, N. Korea, Iran, Vietnam, and elsewhere. Inadequate testing kits, government coverup or secrecy, and/or too large scale of a problem to even contemplate testing and reporting or trying to treat. Serious infections requiring urgent care are high. Death rates "postulated" to be ~9% based on numbers (the correct calculation is deaths divided by closed cases. It's not deaths divided by total infections). Of course, no good data really exists right now on total numbers in any category.
* Spread to at least 30 and perhaps 40 nations. Skyrocketing, essentially doubling frequently, infections in 1st world locations that are trying to test and control.
* US is barely able to do testing, and has confirmed or suspected cases in several states. At least one is a "communal" infection meaning the patient got it from the community. California now has ~30 positive cases, and parts of CA now on an emergency status. Bothell WA had a school closing today due to an infection concern. Ten(s) of thousands of self-quarantine suspected infected around the nation.
* Reinfection is possible, and highly fatal. This also implies no vaccine is possible, and people can be long-term carriers.
* At least 10-50% of the world is on some form of quarantine, lock down, travel restrictions or bans, and trade bans. Businesses, meetings, schools, cultural locations, sporting events, leisure locations, travel (air, uber, taxi, ship, etc.) restricted, shipping restricted, trade supply chains interrupted.
* Massive supply chain problems current and predicted into the near term. Equity markets off ~10% in a week and Dow took largest 1 day point drop in history, and largest 3 daily drops in the last year, all this week. No realistic end in sight given no vaccine or cure is on the horizon. And we're just beginning since we've had no deaths yet and barely many confirmed cases.
* Inventory shortages and price gouging has begun on bio-hazmat equipment, either sold out or triple price. Dried food like Mountain House are sold out. Expect more and broader shortages of goods and price gouging in the coming weeks and months.
And we're ~2 months into this...
I'm not interested in arguing, and won't be responding to attacks or "it's just the flu" nonsense.
There is no dispute this is the worst viral pandemic in 100 years. It's growing and here to stay. ALL of the evidence points to it. There is no cure, no vaccine, etc. Quarantine barely seems to work. The best defense is NOT getting sick.
Please, I urge you, make preparations and take this seriously! Prepare to quarantine as much as possible. Food, medicine, supplies, cleaning products, pet food, and deep pantry and medical supplies. If you can find them, N95 masks, swim goggles or other air tight goggles, and latex gloves.
* Airborne, easily transmissible, highly contagious, long asymptomatic periods of infection, very durable...
* I've seen modeling and reports that this might infect more than 1/2 of the global population. The UK government has warned its citizens of a worst case of 500,000 deaths this year from an 80% infection rate.
* Unknown global infections and deaths. Many reports from inside China are stating real numbers are many times reported figures. Total "official" fabricated numbers or blackout data in China, N. Korea, Iran, Vietnam, and elsewhere. Inadequate testing kits, government coverup or secrecy, and/or too large scale of a problem to even contemplate testing and reporting or trying to treat. Serious infections requiring urgent care are high. Death rates "postulated" to be ~9% based on numbers (the correct calculation is deaths divided by closed cases. It's not deaths divided by total infections). Of course, no good data really exists right now on total numbers in any category.
* Spread to at least 30 and perhaps 40 nations. Skyrocketing, essentially doubling frequently, infections in 1st world locations that are trying to test and control.
* US is barely able to do testing, and has confirmed or suspected cases in several states. At least one is a "communal" infection meaning the patient got it from the community. California now has ~30 positive cases, and parts of CA now on an emergency status. Bothell WA had a school closing today due to an infection concern. Ten(s) of thousands of self-quarantine suspected infected around the nation.
* Reinfection is possible, and highly fatal. This also implies no vaccine is possible, and people can be long-term carriers.
* At least 10-50% of the world is on some form of quarantine, lock down, travel restrictions or bans, and trade bans. Businesses, meetings, schools, cultural locations, sporting events, leisure locations, travel (air, uber, taxi, ship, etc.) restricted, shipping restricted, trade supply chains interrupted.
* Massive supply chain problems current and predicted into the near term. Equity markets off ~10% in a week and Dow took largest 1 day point drop in history, and largest 3 daily drops in the last year, all this week. No realistic end in sight given no vaccine or cure is on the horizon. And we're just beginning since we've had no deaths yet and barely many confirmed cases.
* Inventory shortages and price gouging has begun on bio-hazmat equipment, either sold out or triple price. Dried food like Mountain House are sold out. Expect more and broader shortages of goods and price gouging in the coming weeks and months.
And we're ~2 months into this...
I'm not interested in arguing, and won't be responding to attacks or "it's just the flu" nonsense.