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A recent piece in The National Interest (TNI), entitled "A War Between India and Pakistan: Nuclear Weapons Could Fly (And Millions Die)", by Sebastien Roblin, November 26, 2017 reminded me of a research piece published in Scientific American, entitled "Local Nuclear War, Global Suffering", by Drs. Alan Robock (Rutgers University) and Owen Brian Toon (University of Colorado).
Essentially, they layout a scenario in which minor atomic powers, such as Indian and Pakistan, go at it with H-Bombs. The result, according to their computer modeling research, would result in, from the article:
Basically, according to their scenario, global agricultural would collapse for about a decade, mass starvation would occur, and the attendant social upheaval would be unprecedented.
I will say I'm not entirely sure of their modeling, and their "solution" of global nuclear disarmament is, frankly, a pipe-dream. That said, this would be one nasty scenario to contend with. Have you considered such a scenario and are you preparing for such? If so, how so?
Essentially, they layout a scenario in which minor atomic powers, such as Indian and Pakistan, go at it with H-Bombs. The result, according to their computer modeling research, would result in, from the article:
■ Nuclear bombs dropped on cities and industrial areas in a fight between India and Pakistan would start firestorms that would put massive amounts of smoke into the upper atmosphere.
■ The particles would remain there for years, blocking the sun, making the earth's
surface cold, dark and dry. Agricultural collapse and mass starvation could follow. Hence, global cooling could result from a regional war, not just a conflict between the U.S. and Russia.
■ Cooling scenarios are based on computer models. But observations of volcanic eruptions, forest fire
smoke and other phenomena provide confidence that the models are correct.
Basically, according to their scenario, global agricultural would collapse for about a decade, mass starvation would occur, and the attendant social upheaval would be unprecedented.
I will say I'm not entirely sure of their modeling, and their "solution" of global nuclear disarmament is, frankly, a pipe-dream. That said, this would be one nasty scenario to contend with. Have you considered such a scenario and are you preparing for such? If so, how so?