La Niña has a 76% chance of persisting through February 2023

[The Heretic]

I had a feeling we would have a colder than normal winter with snow...

NOAA issues winter weather forecast for the Pacific Northwest

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has issued a 90-day forecast for anticipated winter weather around the Pacific Northwest between December of 2022 and March 2023. In the long-ter…

www.koin.com

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center reports that much of the Pacific Northwest is forecast to see above-average amounts of rain and snow, and colder-than-average winter temperatures.

Read More

 

[Koda]

Good. Im hoping it plays out and we actually get some powder skiing in this winter. Plus, we just simply need it...

 

[Cavedweller]

"According to the report, the predicted increase in precipitation and drop in temperatures is tied to the La Niña weather pattern, which has a 76% chance of persisting through February. Odds of La Niña weather dissipate as the region nears the spring of 2023."

Predictions like this always make me laugh. There are only 2 possible outcomes - either the pattern persists through a certain date or it doesn't. Therefore, the probability is 50%. Odds are for bookies, not statisticians.

 

[GrayGoose]

There is a 100% chance of weather.

 

[Andy54Hawken]

As Dylan once sang :
You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows...
Andy

 

[The Heretic]

Good. Im hoping it plays out and we actually get some powder skiing in this winter. Plus, we just simply need it...

The cold is already cutting into my firewood stash. It has warmed up a little, but I see more cold days in the near term, possibly a little snow.

 

[Koda]

The cold is already cutting into my firewood stash. It has warmed up a little, but I see more cold days in the near term, possibly a little snow.

supposedly the snow level will be lowering early next week.
it doesnt snow like it did when I was a kid, but sometimes we get a good year now and then... hoping this is one of them. I miss powder skiing.

 

[slimmer13]

So there's a good chance it will be winter until winters over?

 

[P7M13]

Dang, and I was all set on protesting downtown about global warming, and how we need to eliminate carbon intensive industries like dairy.

As Dylan once sang :
You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows...
Andy

Wasn't he referring to a bunch of punks in Ann Arbor?

edit - I see they took their name from his line, from Subterranean Homesick Blues.
Funny, in the video, the dude in the back left, dressed like a Rabbi, looks like AG.

 

[Jay Walk]

We just went 14 days without rain, this during what is normally the second wettest month.

 

[GrayGoose]

Only one certainty; 100% chance of weather.

 

[Burt Gummer]

Hopefully cold weather won't stop the CC pushers from monitoring all of our carbon usage and imposing global taxes on the 99.9%.

Strange as it may seem, there is a teenager out there who believes your government should tax you into poverty to stop the sun from being hot. - Andrew Tate

 

[RyanG90]

this just in, the human torch, was denied, a bank loan…

 

[ZA_Survivalist]

Well just the last fire summer we were told we desperately needed rain and the world was ending.. so this extra rain though messy is what everyone wanted, right?

 

[edzz]

Having often experienced CLS I understand how bothersome the present weather conditions are to many.

And yet these same people are likely to be those who misunderstood what Chicken Little was often alluding to thus dismissing him as crazy rather than heeding his warnings.

It should be obvious now how devastating CLS can be without proper planning and preparation.





CLS ^ Chicken Little Syndrome

FYI very common affliction in the PNW.

 

[deadeye]

We get plenty of rain............

 

[CountryGent]

The cold is already cutting into my firewood stash.

Funny you mention it, because I had the same thought whilst hauling up today's firewood. Still think we're good for this winter, but, yah. Way worse in other parts of the country, so I'm not complaining though.