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AR-15 Prices Dropping: Visualized

Discussion in 'General Firearm Discussion' started by oneharmonic, Feb 12, 2013.

  1. oneharmonic

    oneharmonic Portland, OR Well-Known Member

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    Saw this posted elsewhere. Prices were taken from Gunbroker on three AR-15 models (low, mid, high priced options) from auctions that actually sold. Each graph has two lines, one for the highest ending price and one for the lowest ending price. Looks like the peak came and went, and now higher prices are less dictated by panic buyers and more dictated by low availability (although I think availability will increase because a lot of people buying didn't have a genuine need and were looking to flip their guns for a profit).

    This is corroborated by what I'm seeing in the classifieds here on NWFA. There are a lot of postings in the rifle section with comments like "price dropped" and "new lower price".

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  2. Squidly

    Squidly Sandy Active Member

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    Should be back to normal in a few months.
     
  3. Will_Power

    Will_Power OR via OK Active Member

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    Original links for reference:

    Reddit /r/guns thread and Imgur pics

    /r/guns can be a really cool place. Good gathering spot if you like to avoid some of the more overt political grandstanding that comes with guns and outdoors forums (current topical 2A threats notwithstanding, clearly).
     
  4. samuelm16

    samuelm16 se pdx Well-Known Member

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    Weird they were ramping up right before sandy hook, theres still plenty that havnt got the memo trying to sell sporter ar's that retail for 600 trying to rip uneducated off for 1800
     
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  5. Viper84

    Viper84 Bellingham, WA Member

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    Gotta love excel!

    Seems about right. I got my colt on 12/20 for $1120.00. I have yet to see the gouging on weapons or ammo drop or the availability of either increase. Well see what happens in the next 6 months.
     
  6. EUGENE the REALTOR

    EUGENE the REALTOR Portland Metro Bronze Vendor Bronze Vendor

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    I dont think they were ramping up. It's just the line connecting the dots between the 12/7 and 12/14 sale dates. In other words, no sales between the dates are included on the graph.
     
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  7. robertg

    robertg Sandy Oregon Silver Supporter Silver Supporter 2016 Volunteer

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    Thanks, I love charts and graphs. It's easy for my little pee brain to understand.
     
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  8. Stomper

    Stomper Oceania Rising White Is The New Brown Silver Supporter

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    LOL... paying over $3k for ANY brand AR... a sucker is born every minute.
     
  9. mattdomes

    mattdomes Newberg Active Member

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    Saw a LaRue Costa Edition 5.56 go for over $12k on gunbroker :huh:
     
  10. Heidland

    Heidland SW Washington Active Member

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    My fave, the CMMG gas piston .308s are still far above pre-Sandy Hook. :(
     
  11. Oregonhunter5

    Oregonhunter5 2C IDAHO Well-Known Member

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    My dad sold a calico pistol for 950.00 last week
     
  12. del_and_bones

    del_and_bones Anchorage, AK Physics Pirate

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    I love the cubic spline regression lines, they show nice, smooth trends in normally erratic data. Now if Saiga 12's would drop to $700, I'd be a happy camper.
     
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  13. IheartGUNS

    IheartGUNS WaCo Well-Known Member

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    You know what sucks, this site lets that sh it happen
     
  14. jordanvraptor

    jordanvraptor Oregon City, Oregon Well-Known Member

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    I bought a ps90 the night after Sandy Hook shooting. I found one still in stock at Lanbos Armory for around $1400. On Gunbroker prices had already started to creep up to aroung $16-1700 for the same standard model. Thing is there were only about 5 for sale. Yesterday, there were 45 for sale at around $2000 being asked. I have seen bidding stop around $1800 though whereas during the peak, $2100 for the standard model was normal. I guess a lot of guys who love their guns only love them to a point... :)
     
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  15. Cuthbert Allgood

    Cuthbert Allgood Clark County, WA Well-Known Member

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    i think paying more than $1200 for any brand AR is too much. especially if it's a no frills AR.
     
  16. solv3nt

    solv3nt Portland Well-Known Member

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    I've got $1k cash for any of you suckers that paid too much for a Colt 6920 and need cash for taxes :)
     
  17. raindog

    raindog Portland, OR Active Member

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    I suspect that the ramping up actually started in October once the electoral math became clear, and early November following reelection. Too bad these charts don't start in summer 2012.

    Still pretty cool.
     
  18. mpmax

    mpmax Woodburn Active Member

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    Prices should becoming down, with states banning them outright we should have plenty until they're banned here too.
     
  19. WhyteCheddar

    WhyteCheddar East of Moscow by the Willamette Well-Known Member

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    Could be that the number of buyers has dropped rather than other factors. Most folks who were motivated by the rational or not, ban potential now have one.
    J am not as optimistic as some here. I feel that executive order and our own. State legislature are serious issues. We are far from being out of the woods and a return to anything resembling normalcy.
     
  20. Boedy

    Boedy Sublimity, Oregon, United States Active Member

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    I would like to see a chart on AR stripped lowers. I have noticed the price dropping across the board on those..

    I believe it has to do with the fact that no one can afford to build / cant find the parts to build the ones they have now so paying top dollar for something you can't use is bringing the market back down. I passed on two forged Seekins lowers $180 per last week just because I knew I couldn't build it and flipping it was not going turn much of a profit. I am still waiting on parts availability and prices to start coming back to normal on LPK- BCG and barrels before building the lowers I have now.