Discussion in 'Legal & Political Archive' started by tkdguy, May 15, 2015.

  1. tkdguy

    Portland, Oregon
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    There have been a number of academic studies done on active shooting incidents. Here are some statistics to utilize in developing educated tactical responses

    John Nicolette, PhD, conducted a study of 35 active shooter incidents during 2012 and discussed the results of his study during a lecture entitled "Detection and Disruption of Insider/Outsider Perpetrated Violence."

    The average active shooter incident lasts 12 minutes, while 37 percent last less than five minutes.

    49 percent of attackers committed suicide either at the conclusion of the event or when challenged, 34 percent were arrested, and 17 percent were killed by responders.

    51 percent of the attacks studied occurred in the workplace, while 17 percent occurred in a school, 17 percent occurred in a public place, and six percent occurred in a religious establishment.

    Author's Comments:

    • Think short duration, high intensity event.
    • Think where you are strong and where the shooter is weak.
    • Think of the places you frequent, which are likely venues for such an event.
    • Are you prepared to respond in those places?

    Peter Blair, PhD, and Hunter Martindale, PhD, conducted a study of 84 active shooter incidents from 2001 to 2010 . Here's a summary of their findings:

    Two percent of the shooters bring improvised explosive devices (IEDs) as an additional weapon.

    In 10 percent of the cases, the shooter stops and walks away. In 20 percent of the cases, the shooter goes mobile, moving to another location.

    43 percent of the time, the crime is over before police arrive. In 57 percent of the shootings, an officer arrives while shooting is still underway.

    The attacks ended before the police arrived 49 percent of the time. In 56 percent of the attacks ongoing when police arrived, officers had to use force to stop the killing.

    The tempo and frequency of these events seems to have increased as well since at the time of this book, a year and a half after the Sandy Hook shooting, there have been several more events. One immediately before I began writing (The Cicci's Pizza/Walmart Shooting in Las Vegas) and today, the Reynolds High School in Troutdale, OR.

    Author's Comments:

    • Think the shooter may be equipped with an IED. Possibly time-activated, but possibly self-activated.
    • Think how best to prevent a wounded shooter from detonating an IED.
    • Think you will probably be able to intervene before the police arrive.
    • Think how you might avoid being mistaken for the bad guy.
    Now let's see what we can do with this information.

    Good Hunting
    Gabe Suarez
    Suarez International

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